I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour Now its Rorys turn. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Keith Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last three starts. The PGA Tour schedule is full of peaks and valleys. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. The 2022 U.S. Open begins on Thursday, June 16 at The Country Club in Brookline, Mass. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. Jon Rahm (+750)Rory McIlroy (+1000)Scottie Scheffler (+1000)Justin Thomas (+1600)Xander Schauffele (+1600)Max Homa (+1800)Tony Finau (+1800)Collin Morikawa (+2200)Patrick Cantlay (+2500)Sungjae Im (+2500)Sam Burns (+2800)Viktor Hovland (+2800)Cameron Young (+3300)Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)Jason Day (+4000)Jordan Spieth (+4000)Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)Tom Kim (+4000)Tyrrell Hatton (+4000)Will Zalatoris (+4000). The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. If its a loaded field and Will Zalatoris is betting, Im going to look for ways to get him on my card. 9 this week. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. The Twitter handle is a joke. In his last five starts and first five tournaments on the PGA Tour in 2023, Rahm has three victories, a Top 3 and a T7 finish. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. DFS Golf News. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually gaining 0.2 strokes more tee-to-green than Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for second with No. American Express: Brian Harman. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, Honda: Sungjae Im. (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) Tommy Fleetwood of England looks on from the fourth hole during the second round of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 10, 2023 in Scottsdale, Arizona. WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. That trend is likely not to continue with such a strong field, including seven of the top 20 GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly! Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Riley Hamel. Houston Open: Jason Day. World No. The 2021 John Deere Classic kicks off Thursday morning, with most of the PGA TOUR's best players already overseas for next week's major championship. One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. by Mastercard. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. | RoboTest, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. Which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm has eight top-25 finishes in last! 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